Waterfront By The Numbers · 2026 Edition
The Waterfront Market,
2000–2026
Twenty-six years of price, absorption and failure across 2,681 no-bridge waterfront parcels in Units 1–6 — measured parcel by parcel, not estimated. Twenty-one pages, nine charts, and a full reference table for all 98 canals.
Supply sits almost exactly at the balance point — a long way from either 2007 or 2021.
The share of listings that reach a closing table, 2025 against 2026. Price did not move. Absorption did.
The age at which a waterfront house is worth nothing on top of the land. Past sixty, half sell for less than the bare lot.
Contents
Thirteen sections and two reference appendices
- I Where the market stands
- II Twenty-six years, two cycles
- III Inventory and the balance of power
- IV What doesn't sell — and what happens to it
- V The cost of a second attempt
- VI Size, price and time
- VII The lot type premium
- VIII Canal width
- IX Distance to the river
- X The depreciation curve
- XI The 50% rule
- XII Equity, rates and who can actually move
- XIII Method
- A 98 canals, measured
- B 99 streets
Three findings that contradict what you've been told
Relisting costs time, not price
Sellers who fail and relist still achieve about 95% of asking price — the same as first-time sellers. What changes is the wait: 50 days becomes 474.
Expensive homes don't sit longer
Median days on market barely moves across a five-fold price range. Size drives the clock; price drives the discount.
Most owners aren't rate-locked
57% of waterfront owners here have no mortgage at all. The national story about owners trapped by cheap debt is largely false in this market.
Get the report
Where should I send it?
The 2026 edition, plus the monthly update when closed sales are added. No obligation, and no follow-up unless you ask for it.
Prefer to skip the form? Call 239-529-0555 or email David@CapeCoralNoBridges.com and I'll send it over.